Lock City: Week 3 NFL Picks

Miggles Season Record 10 – 8 – 2

 

Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) at Washington Redskins (1-1)

I don’t like the line at the momet especially with the Redskins losing to the Rams and losing two of their best defenders in the process, but it is their home opener and RGIII and the Skins will be jacked up. As such, I like the total a lot more as these are two high flying offenses at the moment and with Cincinnati struggling defensively and the Skins without Orakpo and Carriker I think this one fly’s over 46.5.

Miggles Pick – OVER 49

 

Atlanta Falcons (2-0) at San Diego Chargers (2-0)

This should be a good one as both teams defend the run well and have QB’s who can get the ball in a hurry. The QB’s are close, Rivers maybe a better arm, Ryan less likely to take a bad chance and make a big mistake but the Falcons receivers are the better group and Turner the better option at running back and that should be the difference and the points make this an even better play.

Miggles Pick – Atlanta +3

 

Houston Texans (2-0) at Denver Broncos (1-1)

The Texans are the team to beat int e AFC and the Broncos don’t have enough to beat them so even as a small favorite in their second of back to back road games they are the choice here.

Miggles Pick – Houston -1.5

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Oakland Raiders (0-2)

The total in this one is set a little too low as today’s NFL is all about scoring and we should see some here as both of these teams have quick strike ability.

Miggles Pick – OVER 44 and Steelers – 3.5

 

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0)

Philly looked like the team they set out to be the whole second half last week.  They held Flacco to a 6 for 20 performance in the second half on the way to their second consecutive comeback.  I think the turnovers are over and we are gonna see a full four quarters from them this time and they win by a TD here.

Miggles Pick – Philly – 3

 

New England Patriots (1-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)

Im not too sold on the Pats D as of yet.  Holding the Cards to single digits at home doesnt sway me too much.  Ravens D is opportunistic and definitely makes things happen, but if they allow Gronk to get off like they did Celek last week, it could be a long game for them.  That being said, Im not too sure they were prepared for Celek, rest assured they have prepared for Gronk.  I think Ravens hold court at home and cover this spread easy.

 

Miggles Pick – Ravens – 3

 

WM

Lock City: Miggles Monday Night Football Pick

Ok so thus far week one has had some surprises, a few coming from the NFC East.  Cowboys look good, Giants look ehhh, Eagles were on the verge of starting the same way they did last year and RGIII might be the real deal.  That being said, we went 3-1 yesterday and 8-5-1 overall, looking to take those winnings and double them on a crazy, but “good” play tonight.

Cincinnati Bengals (9-7) at Baltimore Ravens (12-4)

The Bengals returned to the postseason led by rookie quarterback Andy Dalton who led the cats to an impressive season offensively that they will look to duplicate in the very tough AFC North. Rookie receiver AJ Green was equally as impressive and has already emerged as one of the league premiere receivers and with another training camp and preseason under his belt I think Green is ready to continue his progression and join the league’s elite. The Bengals also brought in former Patriots running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis to replace Cedric Benson in the back field giving Cincinnati a solid running game that is complimented by Bernard Scott and a solid aerial attack. Coming into Baltimore to open the season on Monday Night Football is no easy task and thus the line indicates the Ravens as a -7.5 point favourite but I think that may be a stretch considering this is a divisional game. The Ravens faithful will be doing their best to make it a tough environment for the Bengals but I think Cinci can hold their own and keep this thing close. Getting 7.5 points is a gift.

San Diego Chargers (8-8) at Oakland Raiders (8-8)

San Diego takes to the road to open the season on Monday Night Football in very hostile territory and while they may finish the season ahead of the Raiders, the season opener could be a very difficult one to win. Either way I think both of these teams will be more prolific on offense than on defense and will want to come out early to set a tone for the rest of the division. For that reason I think this one can go over the total as the likes of McFadden, Rivers, Palmer, and Gates will come out gunning and I think we could see a shootout here.

Miggles Pick – A Tease Cinci +14.5 and SD/Oakland Over 39.5

I know I know…But its gonna hit so shhhhh and trust me.

WM