Lock City: Week 6 NFL Picks

Just to pre-curse this Lock City, we we have gone 12-3-1 the past three weeks in College only to give ALLLL back on Sundays.  To the point my own family (uncle) has taken the stance to bet opposite of my NFL picks.  Which makes me start to believe the books really do always come out on top.  If you believe otherwise you should probably just stop reading now.

NOW we are 4- 11 the past 3 weeks in the NFL….eeek, so I took special care on delivering you these gems.  Again, read at your own risk, but Im hot and right on this week!  Choose wisely uncle John….choose wisely.

NY Giants (3-2) at San Francisco 49ers (4-1)

Look for this one to be a playoff style of game and for the running game and defense to play a major role making it a lower scoring game that falls under the total.  With the game taking that tone, Im taking the points as the Giants are playing decent football right now.

Miggles Pic – UNDER 47 and Giants +7

Oakland Raiders (1-3) at Atlanta Falcons (5-0)

This is a lot tougher game than many would think as the Raiders are coming off of the bye, are well rested, and have had a chance to regroup with the personnel changes. Atlanta has been bruising it out and though they can make it look easy, but we all know nothing is easy in the NFL.  Any given Sunday and facts stated above, we are taking the points here.

Miggles Pick OVER 49 and Raiders +9.5

Detroit Lions (1-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-2)

Eagles dont turn it over today, those days are behind them as they lay it on Detroit.  Eagles D will play a big part in this game as Detroit cant run the ball and will lean heavily on their passing game.  Which plays into the Eagles hands as they can get away with just rushing four with great success.  I still do see this one going over.

Miggles Pick – OVER 47 and Eagles – 3.5

Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Washington Redskins (2-3)

Minnesota for some reason still isnt getting much respect here.  Redskins are overrated and RGIII isnt at full strength.  I see this one as a gift and will be my strongest play of the day.

Miggles Pick – Minnesota -1

Green Bay Packers (2-3) at Houston Texans (5-0)

Green Bay is in a do or die circumstance here as they will fall out of Superbowl discussions if they slip to 2-4. Aaron Rodgers gives the Packers offense an edge but the loss of Jermichael Finley and Cedric Benson could be too much to overcome especially with the dynamic Texans offense going to town on the Packers secondary. Coming off a tough road loss and into another difficult road game doesn’t bode well for the Packers especially with the Texans looking to prove themselves against the league’s best.

Miggles Pick – Houston – 3.5

Lock City: NFL Week 5 Picks

Arizona Cardinals (4-0) at St. Louis Rams (2-2)

What a miserable game this is.  Its a Thursday nighter so I figured I’d put my two cents in.  Arizona basically has one player on their team and that’s Larry Fitzgerald.  St. Louis runs their offense through their kicker.  The under is set a little low, but I kinda like it.  My stronger play here is the Cards though.  They stay undefeated and cover.

Miggles Pick – Cards – 2.5

Atlanta Falcons (4-0) at Washington Redskins (2-2)

Skins gives up an avg 320 yards a game through the air, which bodes pretty well for the high flying falcons.  RGIII and the up and coming Robert Morris aren’t slouches either and I see this one being a shoot out for sure.  Each of these teams together have avg’d 56 points per game and I don’t see that trend stopping anytime soon.  OVER

Miggles Pick – OVER 50

Baltimore Ravens (3-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-3)

Although the Chiefs are tough to play at home, their inability to hold on to the football and the Ravens incredible ability to cause turnovers makes this an easy one for me.  I see this line too low and Ravens cover easily.

Miggles Pick – Ravens -5

Cleveland Browns (0-4) at NY Giants (2-2)

The Browns are pretty bad Weeden is even worse.  That being said I think they fight in this one as they don’t want to drop to 0-5.  A wise person once told me, “the funny thing about betting the NFL, these are all professionals that were at some point drafted and sought after because of their talents.”  This creates the tremendous parody we have in the league today.  The Browns do lose this one, but I don’t think without a fight.

Miggles Pick – Browns +10

Denver Broncos (2-2) at New England Patriots (2-2)

The Pats D keeps Denver in this one and Peyton Manning is  tough to bet against to lose, but to cover 7 points I’ll take it even more and twice on Sundays.  Get it?  Forget it.

Miggles Pick Denver +7